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Raghuram Rajan Warns US Economic Future at Risk Due to Restrictions on International Students

Raghuram Rajan Warns US Economic Future at Risk Due to Restrictions on International Students

Raghuram Rajan Warns US Risks Economic Future by Restricting International Students

In a recent and strongly-worded warning, former Reserve Bank of India Governor and current University of Chicago Booth School of Business professor, Raghuram Rajan, has cautioned that the United States risks undermining its long-term economic and innovation potential by curbing the inflow of international students. Speaking in an interview with Bloomberg TV, Rajan emphasized that foreign students have historically been at the heart of the United States’ technological and economic leadership, serving as a vital engine for innovation, entrepreneurship, and job creation.

Highlighting the significance of immigration-linked talent, Rajan pointed to tech pioneers such as Sergey Brin, co-founder of Google, who came to the US as a student and went on to transform the digital economy. “The Sergey Brins of the world came as students and did wonders for the US economy,” Rajan said, stressing how the influx of talented individuals through educational channels has been instrumental in shaping major corporations like Google, which today employ thousands of people and play a central role in the global tech landscape.

Rajan expressed concern that the US is risking this competitive edge due to politically motivated restrictions, visa uncertainties, and escalating tensions between the federal government and higher education institutions. He pointed out that the current political climate—particularly the moves by the Trump administration to halt student visa interviews and increase scrutiny of applicants’ social media—has created a chilling effect on international student interest in the US. “It is not a great environment,” Rajan remarked, underscoring growing unease among academics, university administrators, and prospective students about visa security and potential retaliation from the White House.

The former RBI Governor argued that American universities have not sufficiently communicated their central role in driving national growth and equitable economic distribution. As the policy environment becomes increasingly hostile, Rajan warned that the damage could go beyond universities, extending to industries that rely heavily on skilled foreign labor. “It’s an environment which is inhibiting the ultimate production that the universities contribute to the US economy,” he said.

International students currently account for approximately 5.9% of the total US higher education population, which stands at nearly 19 million students. In the 2023–2024 academic year, more than 1.1 million international students were enrolled in US colleges and universities, with the largest numbers coming from India and China. This demographic not only contributes significantly to the academic community but also injects billions into the US economy through tuition, living expenses, and downstream economic activity.

Rajan compared the current situation to the investment uncertainty faced by businesses. He noted that just as firms postpone or divert investments in uncertain environments, prospective students may begin choosing other countries with more stable and welcoming immigration and education policies. “If uncertainty increases, you tend to either postpone the investment or take it to a place where things are more certain,” Rajan said, drawing a sharp parallel between education decisions and global capital flows.

As the debate over the role of US higher education intensifies, Rajan’s insights serve as a critical reminder of the broader economic stakes. Policies that restrict the flow of international talent not only jeopardize the academic strength of US institutions but also threaten to unravel the innovation-driven foundation upon which much of the country’s economic leadership has been built.

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