Business & Economy

Warning alert for India – in long run as well as in the short run

India and other countries were releasing the oil from their strategic reserves as part of a
coordinated challenge led by the US, thus India move forward to release 5 million barrels of oil
from this. As a note on the geopolitical tool the OPEC + Producers cartel’s move to curb the
output for the first time at New Delhi and they would dip the oil from their reserves. The oil is
said to be released in parallel and consultation with the US, China, Japan, and South Korea.
Without specifying the time frame the oil ministry had made the statement regarding the above
words. The UK has also announced that there will be the release of 1.5 million barrels of crude,
the US is set to release 50 million barrels.

These countries had decided to release the oil from strategic reserves –
The crude oil prices from OPEC+ – a 13 – countries grouping of oil exporters and this has been joined by 10 others led by Russia since 2016 to decide production quotas – keeping supply below the demand level. In bilateral talks and from international forums, they produce the oil in countries and the impact of post – covid economic recovery, especially in the developing countries. The American consumers and businesses were feeling the impact of high prices because the oil supply had not been parallel to its demand as the global economy emerges from the pandemic said by the White House.
Effect of crude oil prices –
There was talk spreading around regarding the prices of the barrel. Late there was $86.64 in
October and recently the price had come down to $84 per barrel. The US had released less oil
and so the price has recovered to $82.3 per barrel and this was made from its reserve as it was
expected. The analysts of Goldman Sachs said recently about the crude oil stating that the US
may add about 70-80 million barrels of crude supply and less than the 100 million barrels, the
market has been pricing in.

The government officials had noted the coordinated action that would step in the direction of reducing international oil prices. Global prices had risen due to the efforts of Russia and Saudi Arabia. Recently the US had announced the release of oil from reserves, they were so cooperating in this step to ensure that the crude oil prices remain under control as said by the officials. The largest oil-producing countries are Russia and Saudi in the OPEC+ group that had been indicating to revisit the plan of gradual increase in production in the light of releases from strategic reserves. OPEC+ that controls half the world’s oil output, and had cut production by 10 million barrels a day in April 2020 as prices fell below $20 per barrel as global demand
collapsed due to lockdown. This was accused by the cartel of being slow to restore production levels despite a sharp increase in crude prices in 2021. Even after the schedule had an increase in production of 4,00,000 barrels per day in December, so the output of OPEC+ will still be lower than the reference level of member countries by nearly 5.4 million barrels per day.

Impact on India about the high prices of crude oil –
The higher price have been a high impact on India. The global prices have contributed the consumers to pay high prices for petrol and diesel across the country. Currently, in Delhi, the petrol retail price is 104.0 per liter and diesel at Rs.86.7 per liter, up to 27% and 21% respectively.
Hence in future days India had to face tough road in crude oil prices as China and other countries
raise the production of crude oil.

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